Week 11 Injury Notes

Darren McFadden (groin) was limited in practice on Thursday, and will likely need a full showing on Friday to ease the minds of fantasy owners. Rod Smith would pick up the slack if McFadden is a surprise inactive. … Alshon Jeffery (groin, shoulder) did not practice on Thursday and his Week 11 status is in jeopardy. This situation reeks of “game-time decision.” … DeAndre Hopkins (knee) has missed two practices this week, but no reports from Houston have stated that the stud wide receiver is actually in danger of missing Week 11. More news should surface regarding Hopkins’ status Friday. … Matt Forte (knee) did not practice on Thursday, and his Week 11 status is in serious doubt. Forte will likely return in Week 12 to some form of timeshare with Jeremy Langford. … Aaron Rodgers (shoulder) made it through practice on Thursday and is in no danger of missing Week 11. … Emmanuel Sanders (finger) was limited in practice on Thursday, but coach Gary Kubiak expects Sanders to be ready for Week 11. … Michael Floyd (hamstring) did not practice on Thursday and looking like a dicey bet to play on Sunday after injuring a hamstring in Week 10 at Seattle. … Vincent Jackson (knee) hasn’t played since Week 7, but is getting closer to returning to game action and was limited in practice on Thursday. Jackson’s status may require extra attention over the weekend for fantasy owners. … Ryan Fitzpatrick (thumb) practiced in full on Thursday and is good to go this week as the Jets take on Houston. … Brian Hoyer (concussion) reportedly suffered memory loss on Monday night against Cincinnati, leaving Houston backup QB T.J. Yates to handle the passing duties for the Texans this week. … Ryan Mathews (concussion) missed practice on Thursday and is a good bet to sit out this week, leaving DeMarco Murray with plenty of opportunities to carry the ball against the Bucs. … John Brown (hamstrings) got in a limited practice on Thursday and is tentatively looking like he may suit up this week. Brown hasn’t caught a pass since Week 7 and is a risky fantasy start at the moment. … Sam Bradford (shoulder, concussion) did not practice on Thursday and will likely miss Week 11 while going through the NFL’s concussion protocol. Mark Sanchez is in line to get the start against Tampa Bay on Sunday.

Quarterback and Running Back Slants

Free agent RB Kendall Hunter worked out for the Seahawks. … The Texans are “hoping” Brian Hoyer (concussion) will be cleared in time for Week 11 against the Jets. On a short week, it’ll be a chore. … T.J. Yeldon (foot) has shed his walking boot and expects to be fine for Thursday night against the Titans. … Cowboys waived QB Brandon Weeden. With Tony Romo healthy, Matt Cassel beat out Weeden for the backup gig. … Ryan Mathews (concussion) didn’t practice Tuesday. Neither did Sam Bradford (shoulder, concussion). … Geno Smith is expected to take most of the first-team reps in practice this week after Ryan Fitzpatrick underwent thumb surgery last Friday. Fitzpatrick’s status will become cleared later in the week. … Coach Mike McCarthy thinks Aaron Rodgers may be “trying to do too much.” … Coach Jim Tomsula will go week-to-week with his quarterback situation. … Coach Jay Gruden said he wants the team to re-signed contract-year QB Kirk Cousins. … Andre Ellington will continue to be used in special packages. … The Rams still owe Nick Foles $7.75 million in guaranteed money. … The Colts want Andrew Luck to change his running style.

Big Ben Hurt Again?

The Pittsburgh Steelers provided piles of fantasy intrigue on Sunday as they topped the Oakland Raiders 38-35. Steelers wide receiver Antonio Brownwent nuts in this game, hauling in 17 of 23 targets for 284 receiving yards. Brown was making plays all over the field in his usual fashion, but he capitalized on an enormous target total as Pittsburgh battled with the impressive young Oakland offense. The performance by Brown may be his last major contribution for a few weeks however, as Pittsburgh quarterbackBen Roethlisberger was diagnosed with a foot sprain late on Sunday and will likely miss one or two weeks. Landry Jones will attempt to keep the Steelers’ skill players fantasy-relevant with Roethlisberger on the shelf again, but expect Pittsburgh to use a healthy dose of DeAngelo Williams while Jones in under center.

Sits If You Have Someone As Good

Peyton Manning at Raiders: At the season’s quarter pole, Manning is on pace for a 10-year low 3,847 passing yards, career-worst 24 touchdowns, and 14-year high 20 interceptions. We saw what happened when everyone was quick to write off Tom Brady early last season, but Manning is looking like a shell of his former self at 39 years old. He’s averaging a career-worst 6.3 YPA and is on pace to absorb a career-high 40 sacks. Normally, we wouldn’t think twice about starting Manning against the Raiders. But 2015 hasn’t qualified as “normal” for Peyton. The Raiders have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks and field an awful secondary. It’s just hard to trust this Denver offensive line to protect Manning and give his ducks enough time to leave his hand. Oakland’s edge-rushing duo of Khalil Mack and Aldon Smith rivals Denver’s Von Miller and DeMarcus Ware. The Broncos are unlikely to find much success running the ball, so the receivers are going to have to make plays after the catch. This sets up as a potential letdown spot for the 4-0 Broncos.

Russell Wilson at Bengals: The only way sitting Wilson is doable is if you own any of Philip Rivers, Eli Manning, or Alex Smith noted above. Without a capable streaming option, Wilson is a must start simply because of his rushing floor. But this isn’t a great matchup for either offense. Both offenses are extremely run-heavy and prefer to control the clock, which translates to fewer possessions for the opposition. The Bengals are allowing just 7.26 YPA to quarterbacks, and both Adam Jones and Leon Hall are having strong to-date seasons in coverage. Wilson’s weapons are lacking, as Cincinnati can really concentrate on stopping Jimmy Graham and Doug Baldwin and not get hurt. Wilson is averaging just 1.25 passing touchdowns per game and has yet to score as a runner.

Derek Carr vs. Broncos: Carr disappointed last week with just 196 yards, two touchdowns, and a pick last week against the Bears. Things get a whole lot tougher for fantasy’s QB14. The Broncos have a lethal pass rush, get LE Derek Wolfe back from suspension this week, and field the league’s No. 1 secondary. Denver is allowing the fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks by a wide margin. Passers are averaging 6.01 YPA with a 2:6 TD:INT ratio. The Broncos will likely stick Aqib Talib to Amari Cooper, leaving fellow elite corners Chris Harris and Bradley Roby to work against Michael Crabtree and the Raiders’ lesser receivers like Seth Roberts. This game could be a defensive struggle.

Matthew Stafford vs. Cardinals: Nobody should seriously be considering starting Stafford after his first four weeks, and Week 5 doesn’t bring anything easier to the table for Detroit. The Cardinals are allowing the fifth-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks and are second in the league with seven interceptions. Stafford is averaging a five-year low 6.2 YPA and on pace to throw a career-worst 20 interceptions and five-year-low 20 touchdowns. Defenses are bottling up Calvin Johnson, and the Lions’ secondary options aren’t making any plays. Detroit also can’t run the ball at all. The Lions are home underdogs with a team total of 20.75 points against Patrick Peterson and Tyrann Mathieu.

 

Philip Rivers

Start of the Week: Philip Rivers vs. Steelers:Rivers is coming off easily his best game of the season, a 358-yard, three-touchdown performance against the Browns. Another leaky AFC North pass defense comes to town Monday night. The Steelers have cleaned things up a bit since Tom Brady and Colin Kaepernick went off against them in Weeks 1 and 2, but this back end remains one to stream against. Ross Cockrell has been a nice find at cornerback, but Antwon Blakeand William Gay are still the every-down starters. As a team, the Steelers field a bottom-six pass defense, according to Pro Football Focus. Rivers may be without both Malcom Floyd (concussion) and Stevie Johnson (hamstring), but the return ofAntonio Gates from suspension will help offset the loss of Johnson. The Chargers have a very respectable team total of 24.25 points as three-point favorites.

Cam’s Running Attempts

cm

Cam Newton is on pace to run the ball 172 times this season, which would be a career-high by 45. With the Panthers just signing Newton to a mega-extension in the offseason, the thought was Carolina might run him less. Instead, he’s running more in the wake of Kelvin Benjamin’s torn ACL and being exposed to more hits. Panthers OC Mike Shula, however, said he’s okay with Newton taking off more. With so much rushing upside, Newton will remain a high-end QB1.

Andrew Luck is OUT Week 4

In a surprise announcement, Andrew Luck is NOT playing this week with a shoulder injury.  With that note, I think I’d sit Frank Gore if I had him too.

It’s a bold move but one that might protect Luck’s longterm future. Luck barely practiced this week and what he showed during his private workout on Saturday must not have been enough to convince the coaching staff to give him the green light. Ancient Matt Hasselbeck isn’t an ideal backup, but he does have a cushy matchup waiting for him against the lowly Jaguars. Receivers T.Y. Hilton, Andre Johnson and Donte Moncrief all become less appealing options with Luck out of the lineup.

Russell Wilson Bump In Value

wilson

 

You gain one of the best tight ends in football, your value goes up. Says it right there in the rulebook and everything. Seattle has never had a guy like Jimmy Graham, someone who can move all over the field and is a matchup nightmare. It’s a fair question to wonder if Wilson’s rushing will continue, but even if it regresses some, remember that Wilson had the third-most fantasy points last season despite the fourth-lowest red zone completion percentage among qualified QBs. And guess who just moved to town? The guy with the most red zone touchdown catches the past three years. Getting Marshawn Lynch back was important as well. The thing about Wilson’s rushing is that it often comes from broken-down plays. Well, get used to this stat because you’re going to hear it all summer and I love it: Last year, Russell Wilson attempted a league-high 112 passes from outside the pocket … now when those plays break down, he has a 6-foot-7 target who can box out and go up and get a jump ball, something he has never had before.

Would You Rather 2015

1. Would you rather have Adrian Peterson no matter what team he plays for or the Chief’s Jamaal Charles?     Answer:  Adrian Peterson

2. Would you rather have Odell Beckham or Calvin Johnson?  Answer: Odell Beckham

3. Would you rather have Julius Thomas or Travis Kelce as your tight end?  Answer: Travis Kelce

4. Would you rather have Jeremy Hill or C.J. Anderson?  Jeremy Hill

5.  Would you rather have Drew Brees or Matt Ryan?   Answer: Matt Ryan (tough call)

Top 3 Quarterbacks 2015

1. Aaron Rodgers (Packers)

2. Andrew Luck (Colts)

3. Ben Roethlisberger (Steelers)

Yes, Big Ben is a shocker but why not?  They are going to go into the season with a killer dual-threat running back in LeVeon Bell behind him.  Couple that with Antonio Brown who is a receiving beast, and you’ve got a recipe for devastation.  Personally, I am a huge fan of Martavis Bryant who will have a full year this go around.  It’s going to be lights out in Steel City.

Kirk Cousins

It’s time to add the Washington R-Word’s Kirk Cousins to your fantasy squad, especially if you need a quarterback.  I have been pleading for the Dolphins to trade for this guy for a year now and bashing teams who need a quarterback who haven’t tried to trade for him.  Cousins is an NFL quarterback that is better than Robert Griffin III.  If I were the R-Words, I would definitely try to trade RGIII now just to avoid all the drama of not starting him.  Even if they do start him, there is going to be so much pressure on him it will be tough to perform.  Plus, there is going to be so much media focus on it that the distraction alone isn’t worth it.  RGIII doesn’t have what it takes anymore as he stares down receivers and doesn’t go through progressions and really isn’t a runner anymore.  And obviously is an injury risk to the third degree.  So play Cousins if you have him as I don’t think it’s lightning in a bottle.

Top 10 Fantasy Quarterbacks Updated

RodgersAaron1.  Aaron Rodgers – He is money come fantasy playoff time which is why he is ahead of Brees.  Team who has Rodgers has won fantasy Super Bowl 4 straight years in my league.

2.  Drew Brees – Sean Payton is back and ready to send a message to the league.  Watch out!

3. Peyton Manning – Adding Wes Welker only boosts his value as Manning loves throwing to slot receivers.  He didn’t have any 4 TD games last year, but he had a ton (9) of 3 TD games.  I expect to see him to add a few 4 TD games in 2013.

4.  Tom Brady – Most analyst rankings are dropping Brady down this list.  He is Tom Brady.  Does it really matter who he is throwing to?  He still has Gronk and Amendola.  He will still get 3 TD games, and that’s what it’s all about.  Who do you trust more-Cam Newton or Tom Brady?

5.  Cam Newton – I still question his ability to be accurate, but that’s just me.  He will always plunge into the endzone and move the chains with his big body that can move.  People question what Tom Brady has in targets, I question what Cam Newton has to throw to.

6.  Matt Stafford – After all my bashing of this guy for this season, I will give him one last chance and bump him up the rankings board.  Call it a comeback year for Stafford.  Plus, with the recent ranking drops of Kaepernick and Wilson due to the injuries of Crabtree and Harvin, it makes sense.  Ryan Broyles is going to have to step up cause we know Pettigrew won’t.

7.  Matt Ryan – You may want to bump this guy up to #4, but let’s not be too overzealous.  Everyone thinks he is going to breakout this year, but didn’t he do that last year?  Then he slowed down in the middle of the season before finishing strong.  Reminds me Jay Cutler a few years back.  With those weapons, though, he should have a strong year.

8. Colin Kaepernick – CK has been slipping all the way out of the top 10 in other analyst’s rankings.  I thought about it, but there are a couple factors that make me keep him in top 10.  He only is dropping because he lost Michael Crabtree.  He’s one player that only became good because of Kaepernick in the first place.  Also, any quarterback who is overseen by John Harbaugh is going to produce.  Great offense and play caller and intensity.  Plus, their running game and defense are so dominant, how can he not benefit from that.  And I love the strength and accuracy of his arm and his decision making and his running ability.  He’s a stud.

9.  Robert Griffin III – People drop players in rankings due to injury all the time, and typically they end up surprising the following year.  I take that chance and risk.  RGIII was the 6th overall scorer last year.

10. Russell Wilson and Andrew Luck – I know it’s a cop-out to put two here, but I can’t leave either of them off my list.  Luck is going to be that special quarterback in this league.  And Wilson has that mobility and on an awesome Seahawks team that can run the ball and play defense.  Things look good for both quarterbacks, but they can’t be ranked higher as they are both only in year 2 of their career and Wilson has lost Harvin for the season.

Let’s Stick Up for Stafford For a Moment

OK, I know I bashed Matthew Stafford a few months ago (click here for that story), but let’s take a step back and make a few excuses for him for a second.

In 2011, Matthew Stafford attempted 663 passes, had 16 interceptions and threw 41 touchdown passes. In 2012, Stafford attempted 727 passes, had 17 interceptions and threw for 20 touchdowns.

Last season, Calvin Johnson was tackled an NFL-leading eight times inside the 5-yard line.

In addition, he was tackled at the 1-yard line five times, most in the NFL.

In fact, last season, Lions wide receivers as a group were tackled 23 times at or inside the 5-yard line.

That was at least five more times than any other team.

Enough excuses.  Last thing I’ll say….at least Stafford is better than Tim Tebow and seems to party well.

Stafford3

Flacco #4 Quarterback OVERALL??!

Ron Jaworski put out his quarterback rankings (separate from Fantasy Football) for 2013:

http://espnmediazone.com/us/press-releases/2013/07/2013-jaws-qb-countdown/

What I cannot get over is that Joe Flacco is the #4 quarterback overall.  Yes, he won a Super Bowl.  So did Trent Dilfer for that team.

Yes, he did play well in the playoffs.   Does that make him better than others that “catch fire” for a short time?

Will he ever compare to Drew Brees?  According to Jaws, Flacco is better.

Jaws says he outplayed Tom Brady in the playoffs.  It’s more like one guys defense could hit the quarterback consistently and the opposing defense couldn’t.

Where would he rank him if Denver’s cornerback doesn’t have a complete brain fart and allow the Ravens to steal that game versus the Broncos?  Would he still have him at #4.  I sure hope not.

The bottom line is Flacco will go back to being an average quarterback this upcoming season.  It’ll be interesting to see the Ravens without a defense first mentality without Ray Lewis and Ed Reed (two of the greatest of all time).  Yes, the Ravens did draft well again for their defense, so maybe they don’t fall too far in that department.  But the leaders definitely are gone.  The Ravens paid too much for Flacco and now everything falls on his shoulders.  I do not think he is that guy.

Flacco

Johnny Manziel is Real Deal

The poor Miami Dolphins unfortunately have put together a really good roster AGAIN when they need to be losing games! They needed to go in the tank in 2011 and get Andrew Luck but started winning. Luck was a sure-fire star. I had my questions about Robert Griffin III, but he wouldn’t have been a bad second options in hindsight.

Now they probably have too many decent players AGAIN on the roster to lose enough to get Johnny Manziel. Miami is hanging on their false hope that Tannehill is the guy. I believe it’s a disaster that they ended up with the wrong Aggie quarterback.

So I was going to write about all the reasons Manziel is going to be awesome in the pros. I started to Google the size of his hands and then came across an article that says EXACTLY how I feel about Manziel. I didn’t see this coming at all but his hand size and underrated size (6’1″) combined with his ridiculous elusiveness and ability to extend play, give me the confidence he will succeed in the NFL. And please don’t ever compare him to Tim Tebow who cannot throw a football. He is a perfect combination of guys like Favre, Flutie, Tarkentin, Vick and Brees. All that combined with what seems like an easier time for rookies or young quarterbacks to succeed in the NFL lately, I cannot wait to see his fantasy statistics. Enjoy the article:

http://espn.go.com/nfl/story/_/id/9234917/johnny-football-nfl-prospects

Johnny Manziel, Chuka Ndulue, R.J. Washington

An Early Look At Quarterbacks for 2013

Across the web early quarterback rankings are being released in preparation of upcoming fantasy football mock drafts. At this early stage, it’s mostly hard-core fantasy owners who are starting to create their rankings. But it’s also these owners who are likely to win their leagues year after year.

With that being said, here are some early quarterback rankings for the 2013 fantasy football season:

Aaron Rodgers: In all honesty, the top spot could have gone to either Rodgers or Drew Brees. But we’re going with Rodgers at this early stage because of his scrambling skills and the implications surrounding the return of Sean Payton, described below.

Drew Brees: Technically, Brees put up the most fantasy points in 2012. His 432 total fantasy points were slightly better than Rodgers’ 420. However, Coach Sean Payton has made it clear that in 2013 the team will return to the same smash-mouth style of football that helped propel them to a Superbowl victory. Because of this he gets edged-out by Rodgers who will likely lead a high-power passing attack once again.

Tom Brady: Brady has been one of the top fantasy performers for as long as I can remember and this year shouldn’t be any different. Brady was 3rd among QBs in total fantasy points in 2012, and it wouldn’t surprise me to see him anywhere in the top 5 again this year.

Peyton Manning: It’s safe to say that Payton’s first year in Denver was a success. If there were any detractors left, Payton surely proved them wrong in 2012. In 2013 he’s looking to make the next step, and a solid WR corps should ensure he remains among the elite QBs this year.

Matt Ryan: Ryan put on a show in 2012 and cemented himself among the best QBs in the league. This will be his 2nd season connecting with Julio Jones and the addition of running back Steven Jackson can only help his cause.

Cam Newton: Since entering the league Newton has steadily produced solid individual numbers. The ongoing struggles of Carolina will only mean that Newton is slinging the ball more-often, which means you can expect top 10 numbers from Newton regardless of how the rest of the team performs.

Tony Romo: Romo has never turned into the elite QB that many thought he would be. But this off-season he received further backing from owner Jerry Jones when he declared the Romo will have an even bigger role in the offense in 2012. At the worst, you can expect top 10 numbers from Romo once again.

Colin Kaepernick: If there was ever a Cinderella story in 2012, it was Colin Kaepernick’s rise to fame as the starting 49ers quarterback. This is further proof that getting injured, even for a short time, could be very detrimental to your career as an NFL QB. Kaepernick has big expectations this year, but you can feel confident that with his mobility he will finish in the top 10.

Andrew Luck: Luck redefined rookie QB expectations in 2012 as he promptly stepped into the starting role and lead the Colts to the playoffs. Sophomore slumps are common among QBs, but Luck is no typical QB. He should improve on his 2012 rank as the 10th best fantasy QB.

Russel Wilson: Wilson was another rookie QB who stunned the fantasy world by leading his team to the playoffs (and winning). His numbers were very similar to Luck’s in 2012 and I also expect him to improve in 2013.

There is plenty of time between now and the beginning of the 2013 fantasy football season, but it never hurts to get a head-start on your competition. These QB ratings should get you started as you prepare for your fantasy football drafts.

How Will Chip Kelly Influence Vick and Eagles Players

chipkellyI can’t get my head around what the arrival of Chip Kelly will do for the Eagles players statistically for fantasy football.  My initial thought is that the Eagles will spread the ball around effectively and have a fun year offensively but one guy won’t have that huge year that tips the scale for fantasy owners.  Don’t get me wrong, I do think they all get a boost statistically.  In fact, McCoy probably gets back to his old self and has a really strong year as long as Bryce Brown doesn’t eat into his carries too much.  Michael Vick should see a bit of a bounce back year fantasy speaking.  He will deliver this prediction in the form of his rushing statistics as I see his rushing TD’s and yards will near 8 touchdowns and 600 yards next year.  On the other hand, I see his passing yards at about 3,100 yards, and I only give him a very small bump since they will probably run a few more plays this year due to their no huddle.  His completion percentage should go up to 60%, with a QB rating close to 100, and about 23 passing TDs.  Overall, Vick should have a decent season but don’t reach on him in your drafts as nobody really wants to touch him at this point.  You can also wait on Maclin and Jackson who will provide some value for your team later in the draft, but don’t get too excited as I don’t see  either of them having a 10 TD season.

In a related link, see how Brent Celek is excited about the Eagles new play signaling: http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/blog/eye-on-football/22092000/celek-on-kellys-playcall-method-its-going-to-change-the-league

 

Most TDs by QBs Ages 30-35 All-Time

TomBradyimagesTom Brady and Peyton Manning have just moved out of the 30-35 age category, and, as of now, Tom Brady has the best stats of any quarterback all-time within that category.  Although, Drew Brees (January 15, 1979) may catch Brady with another outstanding season.  What a great list of quarterbacks below and all of them had solid team winning percentages except for Sonny Jurgensen, who had a losing record, and Dan Fouts was barely over .500.  Only Brees, Brady and Steve Young had quarterback ratings over 100 for this period in their career, and Manning was close at 96.  The rest all had quarterback ratings in the 80’s.  In addition, each of the quarterback’s listed had over a 60% completion percentage except for Jurgensen and Moon.  All of these quarterbacks are great, but this era is definitely easier on quarterbacks to put up bigger numbers.  I cannot imagine seeing what Dan Marino would do statistically these days.  Fantasy football guru’s would be drooling over drafting Marino if he were playing today.

 

Passing
Rk Player Yds TD Int
1 Tom Brady 23242 187 45
2 Brett Favre 22931 163 108
3 Drew Brees 19661 156 66
4 Peyton Manning 21639 155 68
5 Jim Kelly* 19756 142 93
6 Steve Young* 19584 140 58
7 Sonny Jurgensen* 17339 137 90
8 Dan Fouts* 21069 132 102
9 Warren Moon* 21632 130 100
10 Dan Marino* 20220 128 73
Provided by

Matt Flynn to Raiders

How does the move of Matt Flynn to the Raiders help his fantasy football draft ranking and the surrounding Raider players?  It hardly has any effect at all.  The Raiders are such an enigma, there is no reason to put any of them on your fantasy team unless you got great value for McFadden in the draft.  For my money, the frustration spoke about in a previous Stafford post (http://www.fantasyfootballmagic.com/?p=4) will be what you get if you play Matt Flynn.

On the other hand, I love the effect this can have on Larry Fitzgerald who suffered last year trying to catch passes from those Arizona quarterbacks.  If the Cardinals land Carson Palmer, how far up would you put Larry Fitzgerald on the rankings?  He has been ranking close to 20 by many.  I think with Palmer, he leaps close to 10 but not quite.

See the update on the trade at http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/blog/eye-on-football/21988862/.  The article reminded me of how ridiculous the Raiders are with their draft picks too.  How do you give up a first and a second round pick for Carson Palmer, then a supplemental pick for Terrelle Pryor, then give up Palmer just to give up two more picks for Flynn?  Laughable.Flynn040113-flynn-story

The Obvious Five

The top five quarterbacks for 2013 should be the same in almost everyone’s rankings.  The order may vary a bit, but it’s clear that Cam Newton is #5, and Brees and Rodgers can go in either the #1 or #2 slot.  Keep in mind that Robert Griffin III would have possibly been in the five slot if not for his injury.  Here is how I have them rated for next year:

1. Drew Brees

2. Aaron Rodgers

3. Peyton Manning

4. Tom Brady

5. Cam Newton

RG3 in 2013

Some of the owners in your league are going to salivate over having RG3 on their team next year.  Don’t be one of those guys.  I would be saying this injury or not.  I wasn’t satisfied with Cam Newton’s sophomore year at all, and I see similarities between the two.  Cam failed to reach 4,000 yards passing in a passing league!  He didn’t reach 20 touchdown passes and had 12 INTs.  He did rush for 700 yards with 8 touchdowns, but how many years will that continue or will his organization, coaches and front office want their franchise player taking that punishment from the quarterback position?  The talks are already that they want a more power running game.  Why wouldn’t they want to use Jonathan Stewart and DeAngelo Williams more?  I would venture to say the Redskins organization will probably be making the same sorts of decisions with their quarterback especially with his injury.  Yes, RG3s accuracy isn’t too shabby, but how good can he really be.  Next year the NFL defenses will be all over him the first half of the season like they were Cam this past season.  If you still really love him, trade for him a third of the way through the season and expect him to finish the year strong the last quarter of 2013.

Avoid The Frustration

 

Stafford2Despite Matt Stafford’s 4,900 yard passing last season with 8 games over 300 which includes 2 over 400 yards, I would like to help you avoid major frustration and pass on him in your 2013 draft.  With Calvin Johnson to throw to, you would think he would have more than 5 games with double digit touchdowns.  20 touchdowns last season and 17 interceptions says a few things such as he had a disappointing season but he should bounce back with better numbers next year.

If you want to win consistently in fantasy football, look for a quarterback that is more consistently getting 2 touchdown games.  I’m here to tell you I would rather pick Kaepernick. I’m here to tell you that until they establish a more pro-like offense with Stafford under center once in awhile, you should stay away.

Detroit’s offense makes it too easy to play defense against the pass at times.  In addition, their offense never establishes the run game, thus, play action is nonexistent and without that you are giving up some easy downfield throws once in awhile.  Their offense puts too much pressure on their quarterback.  This past season he was getting some late touchdowns that helped him look respectable on paper, but until Detroit starts establishing themselves as a respectable NFL franchise, he will struggle.  He seems like a sexy pick especially with Calvin as one of his wideouts, but I would stay clear.